Fantasy Basketball Picks 11-11-14
These fantasy basketball picks will help separate you from the pack tonight!
As anticipated, Anthony Davis dominated every player in his vicinity last night en route to 64 FP. Dante Exum didn’t see the time I had anticipated, and Donald Sloan looked very average. My “Studs and Duds” are determined by the amount of points returned dependent on salary, which is why you’ll see players with similar scores in both categories. Here is your recap of Monday’s plays:
Studs: Iman Shumpert (28.25), Anthony Davis (64.00), Kawhi Leonard (51.50), Kyle Korver (30.75), Jimmy Butler (27.50), Enes Kanter (24.00)
Duds: Donald Sloan (7.75), Dante Exum (10.00)
Today’s Top Plays
Guard:
Stephen Curry ($20,750) vs San Antonio – Curry is incredibly expensive tonight, but for good reason. He is averaging 53.2 FP each time he touches the floor, which equates to nearly 1.5 FP per minute played. He is as consistent as they come, leading the NBA in PPG, Steals, is 2nd in PER, is 8th in assists per game, and has the 4th highest usage rate of any player at 32.4%. Curry always has the ball in his hand, is the best shooter in the game, and has become a defensive stalwart, as evidenced by his 3.5 steal per game average. You’ll have to pay a ton to get him in your rosters, but he is a mortal lock for 40+ FP, with upside near 70.
Darren Collison ($11,050) at Dallas – Collison’s price has been right around this range all season, and while it stays here, he remains a great cash game play. The Mavericks are allowing the 3rd-most FP to opposing PG this season, due to the revolving door at the point guard position. Neither Devin Harris is an average defender, and Jameer Nelson was always known for his defensive inefficiencies. Collison isn’t likely to blow you away, but he won’t beat you either, with only 5 turnovers in his last 4 games combined. 35 FP is certainly in the realm of possibility here.
Wesley Matthews ($11,450) vs Charlotte– Lance Stephenson is known as a good defender, but he is more of a pesky defender in my eyes. Wesley Matthews is a terrific shooter from beyond the arc, having hit 21 triples already this season, and has the skills necessary to exploit a good matchup against a Hornets team that is allowing the 7th-most FP to SG this season. With Nicolas Batum out for tonight, Matthews will likely take on a bigger role in the offense, and I expect him to have a nice night.
Courtney Lee ($9,500) vs Los Angeles Lakers– While others continue to target Tony Allen as their value play from Memphis, I’ll continue to look toward Lee for more consistent production. Including a game that he left with a concussion after only 16 minutes, Lee is averaging 27.6 FP per game, which is good enough for nearly 3X value on his salary. He is shooting a remarkable .553 from the field, and leads the NBA in True Shooting Percentage (.721). He remains one of the best cheap options at the 2, and I won’t hesitate to use him against the aging Kobe Bryant tonight.
Forward:
Tobias Harris ($11,700) at Toronto– Harris is a minutes monster who averages more MPG than stud players James Harden, Chris Paul, and Carmelo Anthony. While we all know that Tobias’ skills aren’t comparable to these superstars, what he does provide is opportunity. The Magic are depleted with injuries, and Harris takes on a Toronto team that is in the bottom 10 against opposing SF. He is capable of huge games, as evidenced by his 17/16 line against Minnesota, and should see little resistance from Terrence Ross and James Johnson.
Kawhi Leonard ($12,200) vs Golden State – Leonard is one of the brightest young stars in the game today, but the Spurs are a very balanced team that hasn’t relied on a single player in many years. In a huge conference matchup against the Clippers last night, Gregg Popovich unleashed Kawhi, drawing up plays for him throughout the second half, and he did not disappoint. he posted a 26/10 line with 3 steals and just 1 turnover on 10/18 from the field. His price is an absolute steal right now, and don’t expect it to be around this level for long. Golden State has been terrific at defending opposing SF, but they have yet to face a player of Kawhi’s caliber at the position.
Draymond Green ($11,850) vs San Antonio– The Spurs’ days of being a defensive powerhouse are long gone, and they are beatable down low. Green has quietly been very consistent as of late, averaging just over 39 FP per game over his past three. Klay Thompson is expected back tonight, but it remains to be seen if he is 100%. Green should still see plenty of opportunities on the offensive end, and this price is simply too low for his recent production. Look for Green to post 30+ FP easily tonight.
Dorell Wright ($5,000) vs Charlotte –With Nicolas Batum already ruled out for tonight’s contest, Wright comes back into the picture as a value play, much like he did last season. He doesn’t have tremendous upside, but he is a bare minimum punt who could see 25+ minutes. You don’t need much to pay off this price tag. NBA DFS is all about opportunity, and when you can roster a potential starter at bare minimum salary, you jump on board. Monitor this situation closer to tip-off to ensure that Wright is indeed starting before slotting him into your cash games.
Center:
Nikola Vucevic ($15,300) at Toronto – Vucevic (12.3) trails only Anthony Davis (13) in rebounds per game, and is a double-double machine. Enter the Toronto Raptors, who allow the most rebounds per game to opposing centers of any team in the NBA, and in fact, it isn’t even close. The Raptors allow more than 16 rebounds per game to big men, and Vuc is in a prime spot to dominate the glass in this one. Did I mention he is also averaging 18.6 PPG? I expect Vuc to have a monster night, and I’ll be rostering him heavily in an ideal matchup.
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