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Our numberFire DraftDay MLB projections are run through an algorithm to produce an optimal lineup for daily fantasy contests. These lineups are updated throughout the day as weather and starting lineups change.
Here is the July 9th optimal lineup for DraftDay:
*Note: Starting lineups are not yet confirmed. Please check numberFire throughout the day for up-to-the minute optimal lineups.
Chris Sale is the most expensive pitcher on the night at $21,8000, but he also has the highest projection at 29.78 fantasy points. Sale is at home against the Red Sox and is averaging 38.2 points on the year. At home this year, Sale is 6-1 with a 1.98 ERA and a 0.71 WHIP.
The second pitcher in the optimal lineup is Alex Cobb. Cobb is home tonight against the Royals and although he can be very inconsistent, he’s a nice cheap option at just $12,850. Cobb allows a lot of base runners each start and currently sports a 1.26 WHIP. He’s averaging 20 fantasy points on the year but he’s just as likely to put up negative fantasy points as he is to put up 30+ performances. Over his last 10 starts, he’s had three over 30 fantasy points and two under 0 points.
Andrew McCutchen is the highest projected hitter for the night games with a projection of 21.77 fantasy points. That’s a number he’s beat in four of his last 10 games. Over his last 10 games, McCutchen is hitting .338/.405/.668 and is now averaging 17.9 points on the year.
John Jaso has the highest projection of any catcher. At just $7,250, he’s a bargain at home. Although he’s facing Matt Cain, Jaso has hit righties all year with a .828 OPS. Jaso has also been much better at home than on the road with a .317/.415/.440 batting line.
Adam Dunn and Jacoby Ellsbury are both in the optimal lineup, and both lefties will be facing right-handed pitchers tonight. Dunn has a .851 OPS against righties this year with 12 of his 13 HRs coming against them. Unlike Dunn however, Ellsbury has actually struggled against right-handers this year with a .670 OPS. This is very rare for Ellsbury though who has hit better against righties than lefties in his career.
Lonnie Chisenhall has yet to get going so far in July after an incredible start to the year, but he’s still a nice play at just $7,450 tonight. Chisenhall is averaging 13.5 fantasy points on the year and will be facing new Yankees starter Brandon McCarthy tonight. Chisenhall has a .955 OPS against righties in 2014.
Kike Hernandez has been an important utility player for the Astros over the past 8 games and should get the start again tonight against the Rangers. Hernandez has reached base safely in all 8 games so far and is averaging 12.9 fantasy points. At just $6,150 he’s a great value play tonight.