NFL Week 12 Top Plays
Cam Newton $20,450
With a few games on Thanksgiving, we don’t have a normal sized slate here. Because of that, we do have fewer options at each position. Still, we have plenty of quality options across the board. This game has an over/under sitting at 50, so it is one of the higher on the slate. The Raiders have been absolutely horrible against the pass, ranking 32nd. Newton hasn’t been great this year, but he has had his moments and I look for him to get on track this game. He is a great play in both cash games and tournaments.
Tyrod Taylor $13,750
Taylor hasn’t been great this season, but like Newton, has had some big games. Speaking of high totals, the Bills have one of the highest projected team totals on the slate at 26. While the Jags are worse against the run, McCoy is dinged up and I don’t think they will run him over 15 times this week. Taylor should get plenty of opportunities, and may also get Sammy Watkins back this week. At his low price tag, I am comfortable playing Taylor in all formats.
Jay Ajayi $14,850
The San Francisco 49ers have one of the worst rush defenses we have seen in a long time. They have given up 179.5 yards on the ground per game, which is 36 yards more than the 2nd worst team. Jay Ajayi has been dominant over the last month or so,and I don’t think its fake. He is a good runner and the offense is designed well for him. I will be watching this game in person, and will have a ton of exposure to Ajayi across the board. He is the safest play on the board this week.
Thomas Rawls $9,150
Rawls was supposed to be the main guy all year, but got overtaken by Christine Michael before week 1. Rawls is back to being “the guy” and should see plenty of carries this week with Michael and Prosise out of the picture. The Bucs have been the 8th worst team in the league against RB’s, giving up 114 yards per game on average. The Seahawks should have an early lead in this one and I could see them feeding Rawls early and often.
Odell Beckham Jr. $18,800
Beckham is kind of up and down, but his downs will never really hurt you. Some of his ups can win you tournaments and surely puts you in a good spot for cash games. This week the Giants will take on the Browns, who we all know are horrible. They do have Joe Haden though, and he is an above average corner. That being said, I doubt he shadows Beckham and even if he does, Beckham will be able to get open just fine. In tournaments, you can pair Eli and Beckham with Terrelle Pryor, and hope for a nice high scoring game. It will be a low owned combo.
Kelvin Benjamin $13,350
If you want a low owned, high upside, high floor combo, you can look at Cam Newton and Kelvin Benjamin. Benjamin will be a huge mismatch with this secondary due to his size, and Newton will look for him all game. I expect around 10-12 targets in this one, with 3 or 4 of those coming in the red zone. Like I mentioned, the Raiders have been one of the worst teams in the league against the pass and the Panthers should be able to take advantage of that.
DeAndre Hopkins $11,850
DeAndre Hopkins has been held down by Brock Osweiler all year, but has had consistent targets. You have to think that he is going to break one sooner or later and have a big game. This could certainly be the spot against the Chargers, who rank 28th in the league against WR1’s. Hopkins will have a tremendous match up, and this is the week to target him if you ever will. I think the odds that Osweiler connects on a deep one or he breaks a few tackles is pretty high. Look for Hopkins to get his 4th TD this week.
Greg Olsen $12,850
Greg Olsen, another Panther. I am a big fan of the offense and with the tight end position being so ugly, I will more than happily take the safe points from Olsen. Olsen will also get targeted around 10 times, and will convert at least 60 yards. The Raiders have a decent linebacking group, but lack cover guys. Olsen will take advantage of that and get open in the middle of the field. I will have him in both tournaments and cash games, as his upside is unquestioned.
Tyler Eifert $9,200
Yes, the Ravens have a really good defense. However, take a look at the tight end position. It is absolutely horrible. I am targeting Eifert here due to pure volume and talent. He is going to get the targets, and he is talented enough to make something happen with them. That is more than I can say about anyone other than Olsen. With Gio Bernard out, there will be a few more targets to go around and Eifert could take a few of them. He is a tournament play for me, but I don’t mind him in cash if it is a must. He will definitely get some volume.
The Jags are just a turnover prone offense, that’s how it is. Bortles is going to throw a pick, and it might be returned for a TD. I expect Bortles to have a rough game here, and Darby and co. could be in for a few turnovers. There isn’t too much of a running game to be worried about, so they can focus on rushing the passer and forcing Bortles into tough spots.
The Dolphins host the 49ers in Miami this week, which usually brings pretty good offensive conditions. However, we all know what can happen when Colin Kaepernick touches the ball. HE can be a turnover machine and the Fins will do what it takes to take advantage of that. I look for them to rush the passer and force Kaep to make quick passes underneath.